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Presidency IV
Read D and Z
C11 for Friday

Active-Negative Presidents and
the Presidential Power Equation


Active-negative presidents give us a good opportunity to explore
the entire presidential power equation approach.

Their "character" shapes:
1) relations between themselves and the other branches of government
2) relations between the people and the president
3) affects the way they utilize opportunities
4) affects the actions they take
5) changes the pedulum of presidential power



We thus need to know about the president's character, where the pendulum of power is at any given point in time, and the climate of expectations


Active-Negative Presidents

(Wilson, Johnson, Nixon)

the problem of self-esteem:

1) parents who demand perfection

2) children either are told they are or feel inadequate

3) have an all or nothing component to their actions

4) always trying to control their aggression

5) always have the temptation to fight or quit

6) often see the world in terms of conspiracy and/or chaos

7) feel they live in a dangerous world where you either fight or quit

they all RIGIDIFY

the process of rigidification:

1) they fight against giving in

2) they think that if they work harder things will change

3) they view themselves as alone

4) they appeal to faith

5) the identify an enemy





Richard Nixon as Archetypal Active-Negative

a great deal of work without much enjoyment

the grueling campaigner who succeeded by "slowing the pace" in 1968

life isn't about enjoyment, but about conquest

Nixon as self-manager

Nixon world view

Nixon style

Keys to Nixon:

childhood

college


Richard Nixon's character thus influences his approach to the presidency
and ultimately his presidency:

1) his attitude towards "enemies" leads to an enemies list and a desire to "get" them
2) his focus on his place in history leads to Watergate and US policy in Viet Nam


James David Barber's Pulse of Politics

Not only do we need to know the character of the person who occupies the office but we need to know about the public mood

Barber posits a recurring series of themes in elections

1) conflict

2) conscience

3) conciliation

Conflict: people ready for action and struggle

Conscience: people question the "morality" of action

Conciliation: people demand a respite

CONFLICT CONSCIENCE CONCILIATION
1948

Truman/ Dewey

1952

Eisenhower/ Stevenson

1956

Eisenhower/ Stevenson

1960

Kennedy/ Nixon

1964

Johnson/ Goldwater

"A choice, not an echo"

1968

Nixon/

Humphrey

"Bring us together"

1972

Nixon/ McGovern

Vietnam

1976

Ford/ Carter

1980

Reagan/ Carter

1984

Reagan/ Mondale

1988

Bush/ Dukakis

1992

Clinton/ Bush/ Perot

1996

Clinton/ Dole/ Perot

2000




The Match Between Personality and Mood

Table

The Reagan Prediction


Climate of Expectations:

"dominated by the tide of reaction against too long and hard a time of troubles, too much worry, too much tension and anxiety....Reagan came on as a friend, a pal, a guy to reassure us that the story was going to come out all right"


Power situation:

"fragile...having won in an election with the lowest turnout in 32 years".


Style:

"dominated by rhetoric, with little interest in homework on the issues and little taste for the charms of personal negotiation...particularly if they involve an element of disagreement or confrontation. Further, his rhetoric is essentially ahistorical and apolitical . He is bound to contribute to the ever widening gap in American politics between speech and meaning".


Worldview:

"despite various attributions of ideology, would be simpler than supposed: He is a Republican millionaire and hangs around with those folks...As long as Reagan's business friends are happy with moderation, he will be, too".


Character:

"Passive-positive. That meant he would be definitely no Nixon--not a rigidified compulsive. Rather the danger was in his type's tendency to drift, particularly with forces in the close-up environment. The danger is confusion, delay, and then impulsiveness".


Time analysis


"Thus if there were those who stepped into the Reagan years expecting him to be the rigid ideologue his opponents had described him to be, or a withdrawn, philosopher-king President like his hero Calvin Coolidge, or a go-get-'em results achiever like the Roosevelts, they were wrong. They had significantly misdirected their attention to the wrong clues because they had begun with the wrong questions. Reagan was a passive-positive linked through his extraordinary rhetorical style to a public ready, for the moment, for just such a hopeful and reassuring personality. That combination would turn out to be the simplist and the most significant thing to point out as the world rolled over towards 1984'.

"...understanding the "institution" of the Presidency tells you far less than you want to know, and provides only the shape of the stage and the arrangement of the furniture on and around which the action will take place. Theory which fails to reach the person of the Presient will fall short of useful prediction and into the ga will stop whatever speculations politicians can generate, as they struggle to bring power to bear on urgent problems".

The Presidential Power Equation